Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezing6mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 91.9%
Voorspellers
35
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd20 mei 25, 08:13 UTC19 mrt 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election
Manifold MarketsWill Jordan Bardella be candidate to the 2027 french presidential election?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
Polymarket2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
PolymarketRegels
This question concerns the potential candidacy of Marine Le Pen, leader of the far-right party Rassemblement National (RN), in the upcoming 2027 presidential race in France.
- Marine Le Pen has announced her intention to run in 2027, aiming for the presidency for the fourth time.
- However, her ability to stand as a candidate is currently uncertain due to a recent legal conviction that includes a five-year ban on holding political office, linked to a case of misappropriation of European Parliament funds.
- She has appealed this ruling, with the appeal trial expected in early 2026.
- If the appeal fails, Marine Le Pen will be ineligible to run, and the RN’s current president, Jordan Bardella, has already positioned himself as a potential substitute candidate, with the party preparing for this contingency.
- Polls suggest Bardella might even perform as well or better than Le Pen in the election.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 697,7K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 471,3K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 92% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election? afgewikkeld?
- Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election? wordt naar verwachting op 19 maart 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This question concerns the potential candidacy of Marine Le Pen, leader of the far-right party Rassemblement National (RN), in the upcoming 2027 presidential race in France.