Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 65.1%
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 56 minuten geleden
Vertraagd18 jul 26, 14:27 UTC31 dec 99, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point prior to January 1, 2100 (12:00 AM UTC), the prediction market platform Manifold (currently located at manifold.markets) permanently shuts down.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO on January 1, 2100.
- "Permanently shut down" is defined by meeting at least one of the following conditions:
- The platform's parent company (Manifold Markets, Inc. or its corporate successor) formally dissolves, goes bankrupt, or liquidates, and the prediction market platform ceases operations with no successor platform taking its place.
- The platform's web domain and services remain entirely offline or non-functional for a continuous period of at least 12 consecutive months, with no official public statement from the operators indicating an intent to resume service.
