Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 86.7%
Voorspellers
30
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd18 nov 22, 18:05 UTC18 dec 27, 18:04 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Dario Amodei hold super-voting Anthropic shares at IPO?
KalshiElon Musk Giving Shares to the Public (props)
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman hold super-voting OpenAI shares at IPO?
KalshiWill there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegels
When we raised our seed round, FTX/Alameda was our largest investor, through the FTX Future Fund regranting program (see: https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Manifold-Finances-0f9a14a16afe4375b67e21471ce456b0).
- Now that they're undergoing bankruptcy proceedings, will it be possible for us to repurchase our own stock?
- Specifically, they bought two SAFEs: 250k @10M postmoney, and 750k @ 15M post money; totaling 7.5% of the company if we are valued at 15m or more.
- This market resolves YES if Manifold buy back the shares; NO if someone else purchases them or the shares have not been moved in about 5 years.