Will MAGA represent more than 20% of the electorate after January 2029?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingMidden-OostenMisdaad en justitie2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 75.3%
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5
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd13 mrt 26, 22:36 UTC31 jan 29, 23:59 UTC
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Like other political movements before it, such as Occupy Wall Street and The Tea Party, will MAGA stop having political influence after the new president takes office?
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if, by January 2029, MAGA supporters represent more than 20% of the U.S. electorate based on publicly available polling data.
- Resolution will be determined by major polling organizations (Gallup, Pew Research Center, Rasmussen, or similar) that measure self-identification with the MAGA movement.
- If multiple polls exist at the resolution date, the average of the most recent polls will be used.
- The market resolves NO if MAGA support falls to 20% or below.
