Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 97.1%
Voorspellers
31
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd1 aug 23, 09:14 UTC31 dec 43, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
Did he release the paper early to ensure his own Nobel Prize? Will the Nobel committee look poorly on that? Will it matter in any decisions they make? Resolves YES if Kwon Young-Wan is a Nobel recipient by market close.
- Will only resolve NO in advance of closure if
- there is an official statement from the Nobel committee that Kwon Young-Wan Will be specifically excluded from ever receiving a prize.
- Kwon Young-Wan dies before close date, in which case it will close when the following Nobel prices are awarded to ensure he has not been awarded posthumously (resolves YES if he is awarded the Nobel posthumously).
