Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 72.9%
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd1 aug 26, 16:23 UTC16 jan 30, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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If Biden’s lifespan ultimately exceeds Trump’s
- (Identical market to: source market)
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+12.0pt81.2%
- Yes-12.0pt18.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 15,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1 mln.
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.3pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+0.8pt17%
- Gavin Newsom+0.5pt13%
+48 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+3.0pt50%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt34%
- R-House, R-Senate-3.0pt14%
+1 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
- € 675,8K
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-2.0pt63%
- Nithya Raman+3.0pt37%
- Totaal volume
- € 27,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 642,6K
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.5pt52.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt45.5%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt2%
+16 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 73% per 15 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump? afgewikkeld?
- Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump? wordt naar verwachting op 16 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Biden’s lifespan ultimately exceeds Trump’s