Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 66.2%
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 49 minuten geleden
Vertraagd31 okt 26, 10:34 UTC31 jan 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Abdul El Sayed Margin Of Victory?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Election by 5% or more?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsWhat percent of the vote will Abdul El-Sayed get in Highland Park?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExAbdul El-Sayed runs behind Jocelyn Benson by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Some people on Twitter think he won’t want to and the president pro tempore might
- Vice presidents normally always do it
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if JD Vance, serving as Vice President and President of the Senate, administers the oath of office (either the official constitutional oath on the Senate floor or the ceremonial reenactment in the Old Senate Chamber) to Abdul El-Sayed as a United States Senator for the term beginning in January 2027.
- This market resolves to NO if:
- Abdul El-Sayed is not seated or sworn into the U.S. Senate (including if he loses the November 2026 general election to Republican Mike Rogers), or
