Will J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029?
PolitiekOne-OffMidden-OostenGeopolitiekBasketbalSportAmerikaanse politiek2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 12:59 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 51.7%
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24
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd5 mrt 26, 04:43 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- The US and Israel launched a coordinated joint attack on Iran on February 28, 2026, codenamed Operation Epic Fury by the US Department of Defense, targeting key Iranian officials, military commanders and facilities.
- This market resolves YES if J.D. Vance makes a public statement criticizing this decision before January 1, 2029.
- Public statements include interviews, speeches, op-eds, social media posts, or other publicly available remarks.
- The criticism must be directed at the decision to attack Iran itself, not merely at the execution or consequences of the operation.
- Resolution will be determined by reviewing public records, news archives, and official statements from Vance.
