Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 95%
Voorspellers
55
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd16 jan 26, 03:41 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
[ACX 2026] Will Donald Trump cease to exercise presidential powers for 48 hours during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump cease to exercise presidential powers for 48 hours during 2026?
FutuurWill JD Vance assume the presidency of the United States before the 2029 Inauguration?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketWill JD Vance and Usha Vance announce a divorce by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsJD Vance out as VP by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES iff JD Vance, the 50th vice president of the United States, assumes presidential powers at any point for any duration, even temporarily, in 2026.
- This includes:
- The Vice President becoming President in case of the removal of the President from office or of his death or resignation
- The Vice President assuming powers as Acting President when the President transmits a written declaration of inability to discharge the powers and duties of his office
- The Vice President immediately assuming the powers and duties of the office as Acting President when the Vice President and a majority of principal officers of the executive departments transmit a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 691,8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,1 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,6 mln.
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will JD Vance assume presidential powers in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 95% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will JD Vance assume presidential powers in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will JD Vance assume presidential powers in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will JD Vance assume presidential powers in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria