Will Iran and the US reach a formal nuclear deal by September 30, 2026?
US PoliticsGeopolitiekMonthlyMiddle East21dManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 96.7%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 44 minuten geleden
26 mrt 26, 08:39 UTC30 sep 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria: Resolves YES if the US and Iran sign or formally announce a binding nuclear agreement (or equivalent framework deal endorsed by both governments) on or before September 30, 2026.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Source signal: AP News (March 26, 2026): Trump claims Iran is eager to deal while Tehran dismisses his ceasefire plan.
- Both sides hardening positions; Iran grips Strait of Hormuz.
- AP-NORC poll: most Americans say US military action against Iran gone too far.
- Why this matters: A US-Iran nuclear deal would reshape 2026 geopolitics—oil prices, Middle East stability, US foreign policy.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Iran and the US reach a formal nuclear deal by September 30, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 97% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Iran and the US reach a formal nuclear deal by September 30, 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Iran and the US reach a formal nuclear deal by September 30, 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 30 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Iran and the US reach a formal nuclear deal by September 30, 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria: Resolves YES if the US and Iran sign or formally announce a binding nuclear agreement (or equivalent framework deal endorsed by both governments) on or before September 30, 2026.