Will "IABIED is on the NYT bestseller list" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
One-OffPrijzenEntertainment3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 95.3%
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd26 sep 25, 11:01 UTC1 feb 27, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Regels
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post IABIED is on the NYT bestseller list is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
