Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will I write for >half the time that I read this month??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 57% per 14 augustus 2026.

Will I write for >half the time that I read this month?

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Deze markt is beslist: No (57.3%)

Afgewikkeld: 13 aug 2026, 14:31

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Bijgewerkt 7 dagen geleden

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13 jul 26, 14:0312 aug 26, 23:59

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I spend a good amount of time reading, sometimes books but also often Substack essays and LessWrong posts as well.

I think this is overall good but can easily turn into a sort of productivity sink, where it feels like I'm doing something good/productive by reading yet another post but I'm not really getting anything out it.
I'd like to write more and better organize my thoughts on a variety of topics, so that's why I'm making this market.
In the next month I'll track my time reading and writing, and my goal is to write for at least half as much of the time that I read.
At the moment I do fairly little writing (maybe <10% of the time I spend reading).
I will not include taking basic notes while I read something to be "writing," although if I'm more carefully writing up counterarguments or analysis then I would count it as writing.

Veelgestelde vragen

Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will I write for >half the time that I read this month??: Manifold Markets prijst No op 57% per 14 augustus 2026.
Wanneer wordt Will I write for >half the time that I read this month? afgewikkeld?: Will I write for >half the time that I read this month? wordt naar verwachting op 12 augustus 2026 afgewikkeld.
Hoe wordt Will I write for >half the time that I read this month? afgewikkeld?: Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: I spend a good amount of time reading, sometimes books but also often Substack essays and LessWrong posts as well.