Will I vote for a national-level Republican in my lifetime?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 09:52 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 78.1%
Voorspellers
35
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd20 aug 23, 16:13 UTC1 jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRegels
Resolves either when I place such a vote or die
- This market is likely correlated with the OR of the following:
- The Republican party essentially remade such that they aren't horribly discriminatory to at minimum groups I care about
- I become one of those mythical detransitioners AND break up with my partner
- The United States becomes a one-party state AND I still live there
- I become so obscenely wealthy that it corrupts me