Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 85.4%
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5
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd26 mei 22, 16:15 UTC1 jan 28, 00:00 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner?
KalshiWill Labour or Reform have the second leadership election between them, after 12th April 2026?
Manifold MarketsOntario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegels
Background info: I requested to join the Labour party on May 9th, no response yet.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mld.
- 24u volume
- € 2,1 mln.
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 29,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 621,6K
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 19,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 488,8K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will I be eligible to vote in the next Labour leadership election??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 85% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will I be eligible to vote in the next Labour leadership election? afgewikkeld?
- Will I be eligible to vote in the next Labour leadership election? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will I be eligible to vote in the next Labour leadership election? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Background info: I requested to join the Labour party on May 9th, no response yet.