Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 88%
Voorspellers
22
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 45 minuten geleden
Vertraagd10 mei 23, 19:44 UTC1 jan 29, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Australia-Asia Power Link deliver 900 megawatts of electricity to Darwin by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion deliver 10 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill fusion power be commercially available by 2035?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegels
Based on deal made here: https://www.reuters.com/technology/microsoft-buy-power-nuclear-fusion-company-helion-2023-05-10/
- I doubt an exact Megawatt figure will be published, but I'll resolve on an announcement that energy is flowing in 2028 that is unaccompanied by serious doubt about the meaningfulness of the amount of power being transferred.
- If Helion is purchased/merged/rebranded, this market will still resolve yes if its descendant organization delievers the power
