Manifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: No (92.8%)
Afgewikkeld: 10 aug 2026, 06:04
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 92.8%
Voorspellers
57
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 dagen geleden
Verouderd5 aug 26, 6:5210 aug 26, 3:59
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Yes7.2%
No92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Regels
Resolves YES if, via any official announcement, Haley Stevens endorses AES for Senate by EOD Sunday.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Update 2026-08-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES, Haley Stevens must explicitly use the word "endorse" (or direct variations).
- General statements of support (e.g., "looking forward to helping defeat Rogers") will not count as an endorsement.
- Update 2026-08-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES, Haley Stevens must explicitly use the word endorse (or direct variations such as endorsed or endorsement).
- General statements of preference (e.g., saying she wants his opponent to lose, or that she will support his campaign against another person) will not count.
Open markten
Politics
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-7.0pt65.7%
- Ralph Norman+5.0pt25.9%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 11,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 947,9K
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.3pt34.7%
- Édouard Philippe27.4%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+125 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.3%
- Jon Ossoff16.4%
- Gavin Newsom+2.0pt15.4%
+44 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 160,2 mln.
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.2pt32.7%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt4%
+29 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt12%
+125 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 591 mln.
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85%
- Republican Party15%
- Totaal volume
- € 20,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 500,4K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- North Carolina Senate winner?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- What will Trump say during his rally with Darline Graham?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 93% per 10 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday? afgewikkeld?
- Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday? wordt naar verwachting op 10 augustus 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if, via any official announcement, Haley Stevens endorses AES for Senate by EOD Sunday.