Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 78.9%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
8
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd11 jan 26, 04:34 UTC7 nov 26, 04:34 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
IF democrats win the house, will Hakeem Jeffries be their speaker?
Manifold MarketsWill Hakeem Jeffries be Speaker following the 2026 Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Hakeem Jeffries win the New York 8th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill there be a Assassination attempt on Elon Musks life between now and the mid terms of 2026.
Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegels
resolves based on the first speaker voted in after everyone has been seated from the 2026 midterms held on tuesday 3 november 2026. does not resolve based on speaker pro tempore or any temporary speakers.
- resolves yes if hakeem jeffries is speaker.
- resolves the named outcome, if the speaker is a democrat, but not hakeem jeffries.
- resolves the named outcome, if the speaker is not a democrat. eg. independent, republican, greens etc.
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 695,7K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 24,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 294,7K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 291,3K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will hakeem jeffries be house speaker after the 2026 mid terms??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 79% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will hakeem jeffries be house speaker after the 2026 mid terms? afgewikkeld?
- Will hakeem jeffries be house speaker after the 2026 mid terms? wordt naar verwachting op 7 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will hakeem jeffries be house speaker after the 2026 mid terms? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: resolves based on the first speaker voted in after everyone has been seated from the 2026 midterms held on tuesday 3 november 2026. does not resolve based on speaker pro tempore or any temporary speakers.