Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 89%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-2.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd11 jan 26, 04:34 UTC7 nov 26, 04:34 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
IF democrats win the house, will Hakeem Jeffries be their speaker?
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Manifold MarketsNY-08 House election: Hakeem Jeffries vote percent
KalshiRegels
resolves based on the first speaker voted in after everyone has been seated from the 2026 midterms held on tuesday 3 november 2026. does not resolve based on speaker pro tempore or any temporary speakers.
- resolves yes if hakeem jeffries is speaker.
- resolves the named outcome, if the speaker is a democrat, but not hakeem jeffries.
- resolves the named outcome, if the speaker is not a democrat. eg. independent, republican, greens etc.
