Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 89%
Voorspellers
39
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd2 mrt 25, 19:03 UTC31 dec 77, 18:29 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk be assassinated by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
KalshiRegels
This will resolve YES if the future passing (all of us will go, eventually) of Elon Musk will be a direct result of an assassination attempt on him.
Open markten
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 351,4K
- 24u volume
- € 351,4K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,7K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Elon Musk be assassinated??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 89% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Elon Musk be assassinated? afgewikkeld?
- Will Elon Musk be assassinated? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2077 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Elon Musk be assassinated? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This will resolve YES if the future passing (all of us will go, eventually) of Elon Musk will be a direct result of an assassination attempt on him.