Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 87.4%
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd12 mei 26, 19:32 UTC1 jan 28, 00:00 UTC
Trends
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KalshiRegels
This market resolves YES if Duolingo launches a public Toki Pona course on its app or website before 2028-01-01 00:00 UTC.
- A public beta or public preview counts if ordinary users can access the course without a private invite.
- A waitlist, incubator placeholder, job listing, blog post, social-media announcement, forum discussion, or third-party/non-Duolingo Toki Pona course does not count unless the Duolingo course itself becomes publicly accessible.
- A course under a translated or alternate title counts if Duolingo clearly presents it as Toki Pona.
- Resolution sources: Duolingo course directory/app, official Duolingo blog/social posts, and reliable coverage that points to an actual public course.
- Toki Pona is a constructed language; this market was created for soweliSon's conlang market bounty.
Open markten
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+65.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-6.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 622,7K
- 24u volume
- € 579,5K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+41.0pt99%
- Houston+62.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+4.0pt99%
+19 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 411,6K
- 24u volume
- € 411,6K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
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- 160-179+5.0pt28.6%
- 200-219-4.0pt15.2%
+23 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,2 mln.
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+25.0pt87.3%
- 65-89-10.0pt12.8%
- <40-24.4pt0%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Duolingo launch a public Toki Pona course by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 87% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Duolingo launch a public Toki Pona course by the end of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will Duolingo launch a public Toki Pona course by the end of 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Duolingo launch a public Toki Pona course by the end of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves YES if Duolingo launches a public Toki Pona course on its app or website before 2028-01-01 00:00 UTC.