Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 75.6%
Voorspellers
84
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd31 dec 23, 22:36 UTC2 jan 30, 05:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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PolymarketRegels
It resolves to N/A if both are alive on the closing date or if both die within 24 hours of each other.
- If one of them is missing or otherwise presumed dead for more then 6 months, we assume they died at the date of their disappearance (until then they are presumed alive).
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 697,7K
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
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- Jon Ossoff17%
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- Gavin Newsom14%
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- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
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- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 76% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden? afgewikkeld?
- Will Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: It resolves to N/A if both are alive on the closing date or if both die within 24 hours of each other.