Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 72%
Voorspellers
39
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd10 feb 24, 23:23 UTC1 jan 40, 22:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will every non-Trump US president have studied at law school or served in the military until 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be the last US president?
Manifold Markets"Donald Trump US president at any point between Jan 21, 2029, and Jan 20, 2033?"
Manifold MarketsTrump is US President on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRegels
Resolves as YES if Donald Trump is president of the United States when artificial general intelligence is first created.
