Will Donald Trump be impeached at least once during his second term?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 65.4%
Voorspellers
41
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 22 minuten geleden
8 feb 25, 00:55 UTC20 jan 29, 17:00 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached in his second term?
FutuurRegels
Donald Trump was previously impeached twice during his first term (2017-2021) - first for abuse of power and obstruction of Congress, and second for incitement of insurrection.
- Both times he was acquitted by the Senate.
- Impeachment requires a simple majority vote in the House of Representatives, while conviction and removal from office requires a two-thirds majority in the Senate.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if:
- The House of Representatives passes at least one article of impeachment against Donald Trump during his second presidential term (January 20, 2025 - January 20, 2029)