Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 56.9%
Voorspellers
1
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd6 apr 26, 18:23 UTC31 mrt 27, 04:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will China polysilicon production for 2026 exceed 2200 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill China polysilicon production for 2026 exceed 1500 kt?
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Manifold MarketsWill Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2026 exceed 75 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -6.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -8.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExRegels
This market resolves YES if China's total polysilicon production (all grades, HS 2804.61) for the full calendar year 2026 exceeds 1800 kt, as reported by CPIA or USGS MCS.
- YES if: China polysilicon production for 2026 >= 1800 kt NO if: China polysilicon production for 2026 < 1800 kt
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- CPIA annual polysilicon production report
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — Silicon chapter (released February annually)
- InfoLink Consulting annual polysilicon supply report
