Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 21 okt 2026, 22:55 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 55.3%
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd2 jan 25, 13:46 UTC1 jan 30, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
With the incoming Trump presidency, US efforts to produce green hydrogen will likely decrease (while blue hydrogen production may increase).
- At the same time, new materials have been developed in China that can boost green hydrogen production efficiency and that appear ready for implementation:
- https://www.thebrighterside.news/post/revolutionary-super-steel-produces-green-hydrogen-directly-from-seawater/
- This market resolves YES if by 2030, China is the leading producer of green hydrogen (i.e. produces more green hydrogen by total mass than any other country) and NO otherwise.
- https://www.canarymedia.com/articles/hydrogen/chart-which-countries-are-leading-the-green-hydrogen-race
- https://www.iea.org/reports/global-hydrogen-review-2024/hydrogen-production
