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Play-money forecasting platform
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Verouderd1 sep 26, 04:41 UTC31 aug 27, 23:59 UTC
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Will the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 10% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 15% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 20% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 25% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExNew York J: To Break Playoff Drought
KalshiAt the end of August 2028, will California be in a widespread drought?
Manifold MarketsRegels
At the end of August 2027, will California be in a widespread drought?
- Yes: As reported by the US Drought Monitor, large parts of California are in at least a moderate drought as per the U.S. Drought Monitor at UNL.
- No: Most of California is either not in a drought, or at most "abnormally dry".
- The measure is if there's a drought in August, so this won't close early if there's a widespread drought sooner.
- https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?West
- Resolution criteria
