Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 71.6%
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1
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd30 mrt 26, 21:43 UTC31 dec 26, 05:00 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 30 kt
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market resolves YES if Brazil's trailing 6-month ferroniobium export volume exceeds 80 kt on December 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Cumulative Brazilian exports of ferroniobium (HS 7202.93) to all global destinations, in kilotonnes, for the 6-month period ending 3 months before December 31, 2026.
- The 3-month lag ensures MDIC/Siscomex data has been published for all months in the window.
- Measurement window:
- Settlement June 30: October (prior year) – March (current year) total
- Settlement December 31: April – September (current year) total
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 80 kt??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 72% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 80 kt? afgewikkeld?
- Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 80 kt? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 80 kt? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves YES if Brazil's trailing 6-month ferroniobium export volume exceeds 80 kt on December 31, 2026.