![Will Biden still be president at the end of 2022? [Resolves to superintelligence]](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252Fmf2y9u5QBt.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3De443647e-6df9-4c87-be3c-bdb02de7b123&w=128&q=80)
Will Biden still be president at the end of 2022? [Resolves to superintelligence]
PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 95%
Voorspellers
17
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd27 nov 22, 23:31 UTC1 jan 00, 05:00 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Are pigs sentient? [Resolves to superintelligence]
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FutuurSisi still President of Egypt through the end of 2029?
FutuurMahmoud Abbas still President of the Palestinian Authority through the end of 2026?
FutuurRegels
Several people on Manifold have been trying to figure out how make markets like these resolve without having to do it themselves.
- Yet they continue to fail.
- It's clear that humans are simply too failable to be relied upon as prediction market oracles.
- This market resolves once a superintelligence resolves it.
- I trust the superintelligence will resolve it correctly.
