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Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
15 sep 26, 20:44 UTC30 sep 26, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the Austin LessWrong's 2026 Winter Solstice be held at Silas's place?
Manifold MarketsWill any of Austin LessWrong attendees start a company with over 1M USD in revenue, in 2026?
Manifold MarketsPro Baseball Champion
KalshiMLB: Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles (Sep 19, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)MLB: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets (Sep 19, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)MLB: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays (Sep 19, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)Regels
As determined by post-event survey and group consensus.
- Austin LW has done a Petrov Day since 2015.
- Note: the group's leader will not be present at this one.
- Update accordingly.
Open markten
Baseball
POLYMARKETWashington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals+54.5pt100%
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals — Yes+49.5pt100%
- Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: Full game — Over 8.5 total runs+48.0pt100%
+32 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1 mln.
KALSHIPro Baseball Champion
- Los Angeles D-0.8pt27.4%
- Milwaukee-0.7pt16%
- New York Y-0.4pt9.4%
+27 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 66,6 mln.
POLYMARKETSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers — Yes+56.5pt100%
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)100%
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: Full game — Over 7.5 total runs100%
+36 extra uitkomsten
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)MLB: Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles (Sep 19, 2026)
- MIL-1.0pt58.8%
- BAL41.2%
- Totaal volume
- € 348,5K
- 24u volume
- € 348,5K
POLYMARKETPhiladelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)+64.5pt100%
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: Full game — Over 8.5 total runs+52.5pt100%
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings — Over 2.5 total runs+36.0pt100%
POLYMARKETKansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: Full game — Over 8.5 total runs+52.5pt100%
- Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings — Over 2.5 total runs+24.4pt100%
- Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings — Over 3.5 total runs+40.0pt100%
- MLB: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets (Sep 19, 2026)
- MLB: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays (Sep 19, 2026)
- Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers
- MLB: New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks (Sep 19, 2026)
- Minnesota vs Los Angeles A: Total Runs
- Detroit vs Chicago WS: Total Runs
- A's vs Cleveland: Total Runs
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds (Sep 19, 2026)
- MLB: Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers (Sep 19, 2026)
- MLB: Kansas City Royals vs Pittsburgh Pirates (Sep 19, 2026)
- Seattle vs Colorado
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Austin LessWrong's Petrov Day 2026 be in the top 3 Austin Petrov Day's ever??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 61% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Austin LessWrong's Petrov Day 2026 be in the top 3 Austin Petrov Day's ever? afgewikkeld?
- Will Austin LessWrong's Petrov Day 2026 be in the top 3 Austin Petrov Day's ever? wordt naar verwachting op 30 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Austin LessWrong's Petrov Day 2026 be in the top 3 Austin Petrov Day's ever? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: As determined by post-event survey and group consensus.