Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 86.3%
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd12 jan 26, 00:59 UTC17 okt 26, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Nobel Prize in Economics 2026
KalshiIf a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson?
Manifold MarketsWill Michael Levin be awarded the Nobel Prize?
Manifold MarketsAssuming Robin Hanson is awarded the nobel prize, which of his research areas will it be related to?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Literature: 2026
KalshiSuper Ballon d'Or awarded before 2030
KalshiRegels
Resolving based on the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.
- This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
- https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
- The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
- https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
- This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve.
Open markten
Awards
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-1.0pt62.4%
- Lamine Yamal13.9%
- Kylian Mbappé+0.6pt10.9%
+28 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 375K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ncaafheisman 26
- DMEN+2.0pt17%
- AMAN11%
- CCAR10%
+28 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 117,7K
KALSHIThe Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Grand Theft Auto VI62.9%
- Resident Evil Requiem10.3%
- Control Resonant+1.0pt7.8%
+17 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,7 mln.
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
- Harry Kane+0.8pt94%
- Lamine Yamal-8.5pt77%
- Kylian Mbappé-8.0pt60%
+28 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative
- Olivia Rodrigo-4.0pt62.1%
- twenty one pilots+5.0pt14.7%
- Noah Kahan-6.0pt9.5%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,5K
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Latin
- Shakira & Burna Boy39.8%
- Bad Bunny-2.0pt30.6%
- Anitta with Shakira25%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 19,7K
- 24u volume
- € 994,7
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best K-Pop
- MTV Video Music Awards: Song of The Year
- MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Collaboration
- 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host
- MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year
- Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Artist of The Year
- MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Country
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Dance
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 86% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics? afgewikkeld?
- Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics? wordt naar verwachting op 17 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will at least one US citizen be awarded the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolving based on the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.