Will at least one of the pardoned January 6 rioters be involved in a domestic terrorism plot or incident before 2029?
Amerikaanse politiekOne-OffMisdaad en justitie2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 66.1%
Ja 66.1%Voorspellers
8
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 20 uur geleden
Verouderd22 jan 25, 18:29 UTC30 jan 29, 04:59 UTC
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Background On January 6, 2021, thousands of individuals participated in a riot at the U.S. Capitol.
- Some participants were later pardoned.
- Several of these individuals had leadership roles in extremist groups like the Oath Keepers and Proud Boys, and some had demonstrated premeditated violent intentions.
- For example, Guy Wesley Reffitt had planned violent actions against elected officials and threatened his own family members to prevent them from reporting him.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if at least one person who received a pardon for their involvement in the January 6 Capitol riot is:
- Arrested and charged with domestic terrorism-related offenses, OR
