Will at least 4 of Nectome's first 20 clients have significant damage?
One-OffHealth & MedicineWetenschap13jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 66.7%
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd15 apr 26, 03:57 UTC15 apr 40, 03:45 UTC
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KalshiRegels
Nectome is a brain preservation startup, comparable to cryonics.
- They are currently debuting their services, which they claim to be much higher quality than other organizations, but they have yet to preserve any clients.
- This market resolves YES if, by 2040 there is strong evidence that at least 4 of the first 20 preservations that Nectome attempts have significant damage such that restoring them to life is either impossible or would result in significant losses to their personality, memory, et cetera.
- If, when the market closes, there is no significant signs of such damage, this market resolves NO.
- If Nectome fails to preserve 20 people I will attempt to resolve N/A. If it's not clear whether there's "strong evidence" I will use my best judgment.
- As such, I won't bet.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will at least 4 of Nectome's first 20 clients have significant damage??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 67% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will at least 4 of Nectome's first 20 clients have significant damage? afgewikkeld?
- Will at least 4 of Nectome's first 20 clients have significant damage? wordt naar verwachting op 15 april 2040 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will at least 4 of Nectome's first 20 clients have significant damage? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Nectome is a brain preservation startup, comparable to cryonics.