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Nee 50.4%
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4
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd19 mei 23, 15:25 UTC1 jan 33, 00:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Astrobotic's Griffin Lander land (mostly successfully) on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill the first successful Artemis crewed lunar landing be done using a Blue Origin lander?
Manifold MarketsWhen will SpaceX land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Cristiano Ronaldo play for the Portugal National Team again?
KalshiWill Messi play for the Argentina National Team again?
KalshiNext England National Team Head Coach
PolymarketRegels
NASA has just selected National Team's proposal for the second human landing system.
- They intend to use it with Artemis V, which is currently scheduled for 2029.
- Will the lander be ready in time? If not, they may opt to use another Starship HLS.
- If the lander isn't ready yet and they use a Starship mission but call it "Artemis VI", skipping over "Artemis V", then this market resolves to No. The intention is to ask whether the fifth Artemis mission uses National Team's lander.
- If there's an "interim" mission used for Artemis 3, such as LEO docking and reentry, then this market applies to Artemis 6 instead of 5.
- Basically asking, will National Team's lander be ready for a mission after the first two official HLS crew landings?
Open markten
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 103,1K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 57,4K
- 24u volume
- € 57,4K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 817,9K
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Artemis V use National Team's lander to land on the moon??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 50% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Artemis V use National Team's lander to land on the moon? afgewikkeld?
- Will Artemis V use National Team's lander to land on the moon? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2033 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Artemis V use National Team's lander to land on the moon? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: NASA has just selected National Team's proposal for the second human landing system.