Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 04:15 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 94.6%
Voorspellers
22
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd26 dec 23, 08:26 UTC31 dec 27, 08:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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KalshiWill Apple release an iPhone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2026?
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PolymarketRegels
Start date of this market contract: December 25, 2023
- End date of this market contract: December 31, 2027
- Resolves YES if Apple releases a phone (whether it's called iphone or something else - iphone has been used in the title since that is the only line of phones that Apple sells at the present time) without a camera bump. it does not count if the camera bump is noticeably smaller.
- It should be a "more or less flat back".
- It goes against the spirit of the market if Apple releases a phone without a camera, and thus without a camera bump.
- So, that will not count.