Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 63.5%
Voorspellers
52
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd2 apr 26, 22:03 UTC31 dec 26, 22:55 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
PolymarketWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by which date?
Manifold MarketsWill anyone be criminally charged based on evidence from the Epstein files in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
PolymarketWill anyone face federal charges tied to Fulton County’s 2020 election?
KalshiHas anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in cannibalism?
Manifold MarketsRegels
HB 752 was just signed into law, adding Section 18-4117 to the Idaho Code.
- This law criminalizes usage of the preferred restroom for transgender persons.
- Resolves YES if anyone is formally charged under the statute in 2026.
- Resolves NO if not.
- Note that it doesn't matter if the charges are later dropped.
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mld.
- 24u volume
- € 1,8 mln.
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+0.7pt98%
- September 25-2.0pt90%
- September 30-2.0pt80%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+38.0pt53.5%
- Nicolás Maduro-38.3pt45.5%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-1.2pt10.1%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 58,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 326K
- What will Trump say this week?
- Fed Decision in October?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will anyone be charged under the new Idaho Bathroom Bill??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 64% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will anyone be charged under the new Idaho Bathroom Bill? afgewikkeld?
- Will anyone be charged under the new Idaho Bathroom Bill? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will anyone be charged under the new Idaho Bathroom Bill? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: HB 752 was just signed into law, adding Section 18-4117 to the Idaho Code.