Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 86.6%
Voorspellers
33
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 uur geleden
Verouderd3 jan 23, 12:16 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will any USA state ban self driving cars by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill any US state ban the morning after pill before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill suicide become allowed in any US state by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill any portion of Alberta become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill any portion of Panama become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExRegels
The right to use contraception is currently protected by previous Supreme Court rulings, which means that states do not have the power to ban: https://reproductiverights.org/sites/default/files/documents/factsheets/Constitutional-Protection-for-the-Right-to-Contraception-Fact-Sheet2.pdf
- The overturning of Roe v Wade has prompted many to fear that access to contraception may come under threat: https://reproductiverights.org/sites/default/files/documents/factsheets/Constitutional-Protection-for-the-Right-to-Contraception-Fact-Sheet2.pdf
- For the purposes of this market, contraception will include condoms, oral contraceptives, IUD or other implants, but NOT the morning-after pill.
- If any one of these contraceptive methods is banned, with the ban coming into effect before 2030, I will resolve YES.
- If the sale or provision of contraceptives is banned, I will resolve YES even if using contraceptives is not criminalized.
- If the ban applies only to a subgroup (like unmarried couples) I will resolve YES (except for bans concerning minors, who already have spotty access to contraception).
Open markten
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 693K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,1 mln.
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 266,9K
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 248,7K
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will any US state ban contraception by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 87% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will any US state ban contraception by 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Will any US state ban contraception by 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will any US state ban contraception by 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The right to use contraception is currently protected by previous Supreme Court rulings, which means that states do not have the power to ban: https://reproductiverights.org/sites/default/files/documents/factsheets/Constitutional-Protection-for-the-Right-to-Contraception-Fact-Sheet2.pdf