Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 57%
Voorspellers
36
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 19 uur geleden
Verouderd24 nov 22, 22:48 UTC1 jan 30, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Tesla sell >$1B of humanoid robots by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 200K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegels
Clarification - humanoid robots.
- See similar market on Tesla: https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/will-tesla-sell-1b-of-humanoid-robo
- Nov 24, 2:54pm: Will any company sell >$1B of robots before 2030? → Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030?
- Update 2025-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:
- The revenue threshold of >$1B is measured in 2023 dollars.
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 541,2K
- 24u volume
- € 536,7K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+18.0pt37.1%
- 180-199+10.0pt36.2%
- 200-219-10.0pt12.4%
+23 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,2 mln.
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+39.3pt96%
- 65-89-29.7pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+3.0pt71.8%
- Before March 202717.3%
- Before February 2027-1.0pt6.4%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic89.9%
- OpenAI-1.5pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Foldable iPhone Announced Price?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 57% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Clarification - humanoid robots.