Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 14:50 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 60.3%
Voorspellers
24
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 56 minuten geleden
Vertraagd2 sep 24, 22:02 UTC1 jan 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Tesla or Waymo First Serious Self-Driving Taxi Crash?
Manifold MarketsWill a major city in Europe have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill California have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill New York City have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegels
Resolves YES if any city in the UK has a self-driving taxi service generally available to the public.
- This includes via a waitlist, if the waitlist is open to the public.
- This service only needs to cover part of the city; Waymo's service area in LA would be sufficient to resolve YES, if LA was in the UK.
