Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 78.8%
Voorspellers
58
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd22 dec 22, 01:22 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Devansh have a *liquid* net worth of at least $1M on January 1, 2028?
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KalshiRegels
By "liquid" I mean "can reasonably direct 100M of their own capital to whatever they want." / "not fake VC valuations."
- EDIT: This includes donations/money spent in a personal capacity).
- See comments.
Open markten
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 180,1K
- 24u volume
- € 180,1K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt57.6%
- 65-89+13.0pt34.3%
- 90-114+0.5pt4%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt97%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 182,1K
- 24u volume
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 60,4K
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 79% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: By "liquid" I mean "can reasonably direct 100M of their own capital to whatever they want." / "not fake VC valuations."