Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 83.7%
Voorspellers
23
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 20 uur geleden
Verouderd21 mei 25, 14:29 UTC2 jan 30, 14:28 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Andy Weir’s next novel take place in space?
Manifold MarketsWill Lois McMaster Bujold write another work set in the Vorkosigan universe?
Manifold Markets#1 Spotify song this week? (October 30)
PolymarketOscar Winner: Best Picture
KalshiThe Mongoose · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiGrammy Winner: Best Contemporary Country Album
KalshiRegels
In May 2025, the Chicago Sun-Times newspaper published an AI-generated "summer reading list for 2025" that recommended several books which don’t actually exist, including "The Last Algorithm" by sci-fi author Andy Weir (author of the books The Martian, Artemis, and Project Hail Mary).
- This prediction market asks whether Andy Weir will actually write a work titled "The Last Algorithm" before the year 2030.
- Resolving rules
- This will be resolved YES shortly after the work becomes available and can be read by an ordinary person.
- This will be resolved NO at the beginning of the year 2030 if no public information about such a work exists.
- UTC timezone will be used to determine the start of 2030.