Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 83.4%
Voorspellers
23
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd21 mei 25, 14:29 UTC2 jan 30, 14:28 UTC
Trends
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Futuur"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRegels
In May 2025, the Chicago Sun-Times newspaper published an AI-generated "summer reading list for 2025" that recommended several books which don’t actually exist, including "The Last Algorithm" by sci-fi author Andy Weir (author of the books The Martian, Artemis, and Project Hail Mary).
- This prediction market asks whether Andy Weir will actually write a work titled "The Last Algorithm" before the year 2030.
- Resolving rules
- This will be resolved YES shortly after the work becomes available and can be read by an ordinary person.
- This will be resolved NO at the beginning of the year 2030 if no public information about such a work exists.
- UTC timezone will be used to determine the start of 2030.
Open markten
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 342,8K
- 24u volume
- € 91,2K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 182,4K
- 24u volume
- € 90,8K
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 extra uitkomsten
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,8 mln.
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 264,6K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 84,3K
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Andy Weir write a work titled "The Last Algorithm"? (before 2030)?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 83% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Andy Weir write a work titled "The Last Algorithm"? (before 2030) afgewikkeld?
- Will Andy Weir write a work titled "The Last Algorithm"? (before 2030) wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Andy Weir write a work titled "The Last Algorithm"? (before 2030) afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: In May 2025, the Chicago Sun-Times newspaper published an AI-generated "summer reading list for 2025" that recommended several books which don’t actually exist, including "The Last Algorithm" by sci-fi author Andy Weir (author of the books The Martian, Artemis, and Project Hail Mary).