Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 95%
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4
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Verouderd4 dec 25, 17:27 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
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Recently, a Republican senator has introduced a bill aiming to force US citizens to either renounce all other foreign citizenships or renounce their US citizenship.
- Will this bill, or another like it, pass?
- For a “Yes” resolution, this has to be a bill affecting at least a significant portion of dual citizens.
- Something that forces a narrow range of dual citizens to choose, such as a targeted measure preventing dual citizenships from one small country, doesn’t count.
- (But a large country with a lot of dual citizens, like Canada, might.)
- I’m aware these criteria are somewhat subjective and that the details could get hairy, so I won’t be betting in this market myself.
