Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 62.5%
Voorspellers
25
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 uur geleden
Verouderd22 jan 23, 00:54 UTC22 jan 00, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
Resolves YES if Honnold retires from climbing or stops free-soloing even if he continues climbing by other methods (free climbing with belay or other assistance, aid climbing, bouldering, etc.).
- If he doesn't stop before his death then this resolves to NO.
- Clarification on possible cases (11/29/23):
- Honnold says in an interview or on social media or anywhere public that he will no longer free solo and he does not free solo for at least a month afterwards: YES
- Honnold stops free soloing for strictly more than one year without having expressly commented on his plans or committed to another major project: YES.
- If he does not solo for a year but says he hasn’t decided to stop, this is insufficient for a resolution.
Open markten
Sports
POLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,9 mln.
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 24,5 mln.
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,3 mln.
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 24,6 mln.
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,6 mln.
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 63% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents? afgewikkeld?
- Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents? wordt naar verwachting op 22 januari 2100 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if Honnold retires from climbing or stops free-soloing even if he continues climbing by other methods (free climbing with belay or other assistance, aid climbing, bouldering, etc.).