Will "AGI Safety & Alignment @ Google DeepMind is h..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

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Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will "AGI Safety & Alignment @ Google DeepMind is h..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 93.5% per 20 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Will "AGI Safety & Alignment @ Google DeepMind is h..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?

Will "AGI Safety & Alignment @ Google DeepMind is h..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? wordt naar verwachting op 1 februari 2027 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt Will "AGI Safety & Alignment @ Google DeepMind is h..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

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POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

• 260-279+8.0pt27.2%
• 280-299+13.0pt25.2%
• 240-259-9.5pt15.5%

+23 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 1,6 mln.

24u volume

€ 692K

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 21, 2026 at 6pm EDT?

• $84,500 or above98.5%
• $84,400 or above99.5%
• $84,300 or above99.5%

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 21, 2026?

• Los Angeles+6.0pt99.5%
• Phoenix78.5%
• San Francisco70.5%

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $79,500 or above+6.0pt98%
• $76,500 or above+4.0pt98.5%
• $77,500 or above+4.0pt

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 21, 2026?

• 73° to 74°+51.0pt99.5%
• 75° or above-20.0pt0.5%
• 71° to 72°-22.0pt

KALSHI

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

• 80,000 to 84,999.99-0.8pt14.4%
• 85,000 to 89,999.99+1.0pt13.9%
• 75,000 to 79,999.99-1.0pt

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• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
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