Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

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27 jan 26, 20:31 UTC1 feb 28, 00:00 UTC

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As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
The market was initialized to 14%.

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Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Bitcoin+4.0ptOpgeslagen 24u-historieOpgeslagen bied–laat8%–16%Verzameld: 10 okt 2026, 09:30 UTC
CardanoOpgeslagen bied–laat0%–7%Verzameld: 10 okt 2026, 09:30 UTC
Ethereum-5.0ptOpgeslagen 24u-historieOpgeslagen bied–laat2%–10%Verzameld: 10 okt 2026, 09:30 UTC

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Totaal volume: € 3,3K
24u volume: € 544,3

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

No89.4%
Yes10.6%

Totaal volume: € 609,3
24u volume: —

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?

Between $10 billion and $50 billion48.5%
Between $1 billion and $10 billion17.8%
Between $50 billion and $100 billion14%

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Totaal volume: € 228,5

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Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??: Manifold Markets prijst No op 74.8% per 10 oktober 2026.
Wanneer wordt Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?: Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? wordt naar verwachting op 1 februari 2028 afgewikkeld.
Hoe wordt Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?: Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

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Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Open markten

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?

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Gebruik deze markt in code of in een AI-agent

Open markten

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?