Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 68.2%
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
12 sep 26, 21:53 UTC4 nov 26, 22:49 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsAbdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will Abdul El Sayed and Mike rogers debate?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExMichigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?
KalshiMichigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
KalshiRegels
Abdul El-Sayed said in May he would beat Mike Rogers by 7.
- This question resolves yes if Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race by greater than or equal to 7 points.
- It resolves no otherwise.
- I will use the certified results as ground truth, but I will probably resolve this the day after the election based on the New York Times results page if the resolution is obvious.
- I may trade on this market.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+3.0pt77%
- New People (NL)-3.2pt19%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.1pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 27,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 191,9 mln.
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party88.1%
- Republican Party-1.0pt11.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 28,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 728,5K
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- James Talarico+2.0pt56%
- Ken Paxton-3.0pt44%
- Totaal volume
- € 11,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 609,2K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.4pt55.6%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt43.4%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027+1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt5%
- September 30,+0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Florida Governor winner?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 68% per 18 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more? afgewikkeld?
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more? wordt naar verwachting op 4 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Abdul El-Sayed said in May he would beat Mike Rogers by 7.