Will a woman walk on Mars before a woman is president of the United States?
One-OffPolitiekRuimtevaartAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 77.9%
Voorspellers
82
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd16 mrt 24, 18:06 UTC21 jan 49, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman is president of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill the first person to walk on Mars be a woman?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the first woman president of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill the first woman president of the United States be a Republican?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWill Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045?
KalshiRegels
The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.
- For purposes of this market, "woman" is someone who identifies as a woman at the time of the respective event.
- If an astronaut or politician walked on Mars or became President of the United States as a man and then identified as transgender after leaving Mars or the Presidency, respectively, then that would not satisfy the criteria (unless they were to return to Mars or regain the presidency).
- I will not bet in this market.
- Related market: @/jks/will-a-woman-walk-on-the-moon-befor
