Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040?
PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing14j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 66.6%
Voorspellers
157
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd21 apr 23, 18:37 UTC31 dec 40, 22:59 UTC
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ForecastExRegels
This question will resolve as YES if a woman is elected as the President of the United States in any presidential election held before December 31, 2040.
- The election must take place through the constitutional process and result in a woman assuming the office of the President of the United States.
- A woman who serves as Vice President and assumes the office of the President due to the President's death, resignation, or removal from office would not count as a "woman elected as the President."
- If a woman is elected as President but is unable to assume office due to death, incapacity, or other reasons, this would still count as a YES resolution as long as the election process had been completed.
- For the sake of this market I'll define a woman as someone identifying as a woman at the time of being elected.
- So trans women are women.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 67% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040? afgewikkeld?
- Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2040 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This question will resolve as YES if a woman is elected as the President of the United States in any presidential election held before December 31, 2040.