Will a top 5 US fast-food chain launch a non-dairy milkshake nationally by end of 2027?
One-OffBedrijfsleven1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 68.8%
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd29 jul 26, 16:17 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if any of the top US fast-food chains launch a non-dairy milkshake nationally on or before December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM PT.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Eligible Chains: For clarity and to avoid debates over shifting industry rankings or whether coffee shops qualify, a "top US fast-food chain" is defined as any of the top 5 quick-service restaurant chains by U.S. systemwide sales: McDonald’s, Starbucks, Chick-fil-A, Taco Bell, or Wendy's.
- "Launch nationally": The chain must add the item to its permanent or limited-time promotional menu at a supermajority (at least 80%) of its corporate and franchised locations across the United States.
- Regional tests, single-market pilots, or items exclusive to spinoff concepts (e.g., CosMc's) do not qualify.