Will a major presidential candidate call something "based" by 2048?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 69.8%
Voorspellers
43
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd5 aug 23, 23:45 UTC2 jan 49, 04:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
If a candidate who polls at over 20% in a Democratic or Republican primary or in a general election according to polling aggregators RealClearPolitics and Fivethirtyeight (or suitable alternative if both are defunct) uses the adjective "based" to describe something or someone, including themselves, in official communications, resolve to YES.
- Otherwise, resolve to NO.
