Waarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 07:45 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
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Nee 87.5%
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd5 aug 26, 04:05 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich tennis player will announce their retirement first?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will a humanoid robot beat an olympic champion at their sport?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a humanoid robot beat a human tennis pro in a singles match
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWill any human-created robot or life form create a copy of itself before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolves YES if a humanoid robot (a robot that resembles a human and moves similar to a human) beats a ranked top 10 APT mens tennis player by the end of 2027.
- Otherwise, resolves NO.
- The robot needs to play a full match with the player and only be recharged (no battery replacement) as often as the player does.
- Note that this condition may change a teeny bit according to popular opinion.
- The success must be reported by a credible source to be counted.
- If nothing is reported by the end of 2027, this market resolves NO.
