Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 83.5%
Voorspellers
16
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd27 nov 22, 18:09 UTC31 dec 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year?
KalshiWill Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year? [Kalshi]
Manifold MarketsOscar Winner: Best Picture
KalshiEmmy winner: Outstanding Variety Series
KalshiEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
PolymarketNext James Bond actor?
PolymarketRegels
yes this is yet another operationalization of AI timelines
- Close date updated to 2030-12-31 3:59 pm
Open markten
EntertainmentKALSHIEmmy winner: Outstanding Variety Series
- The Late Show with Stephen Colbert-4.0pt63.9%
- Tie+7.0pt29.6%
- Last Week Tonight with John Oliver-1.0pt2.8%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 295,1K
- 24u volume
- € 47,9K
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast Gaming video on day 1?
- 15–17.5M+27.5pt54.5%
- 17.5–20M+26.4pt43.6%
- 12.5–15M-14.2pt1%
+4 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
- “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”-0.5pt76.3%
- “Jimmy Kimmel Live!”+2.2pt7.2%
- “The Daily Show”+2.2pt6.2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey54%
- Dune: Part Three12%
- The Black Ball11%
+37 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 4,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 44,3K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 35+34.0pt99%
- Above 30+1.0pt99%
- Above 2599%
+14 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 219,4K
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- No Bond chosen+14.6pt36%
- Jack Lowden-16.6pt20%
- Jack Barton-0.1pt12%
+21 extra uitkomsten
- #2 US Netflix Show this week?
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
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- Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
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- The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will a full length HPMOR fan anime come out before the world ends?
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 84% per 12 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will a full length HPMOR fan anime come out before the world ends afgewikkeld?
- Will a full length HPMOR fan anime come out before the world ends wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will a full length HPMOR fan anime come out before the world ends afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: yes this is yet another operationalization of AI timelines